SOUTH KOREA COVID19

March 22nd, 2020.
Fabio Gori, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy.

Today I have investigated the COVID19 in South Korea. I have used the same procedure followed with the COVID19 in China posted yesterday. 

First of all let's have a look to the new and total cases in South Korea until March 20th, presented in the following figure, in logaritmic scale, where the total cases until March 20th is around 8600.

 
Then, let's see the forecast obtained with the Malthus and Verhulst approach applied from the day reported in each of the following figures, in logaritmic and linear scale.




 The conclusions are similar to the China forecast of yesterday. A sufficient number of data is necessary before to be able to forecast the total number of cases.




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