COVID19 DATA AND FORECAST IN EU AND US, UPDATE OF APRIL 10th, 2020.
April 10th, 2020.
Fabio Gori, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy.
www.termofluidodinamica.it
covid19forecast.blogspot.com
eucovid19.blogspot.com
usacovid19.blogspot.com
forbigaio.blogspot.com
Today I have assembled data and forecast of the COVID 19 of April 9th 2020, presenting the forecast of the total and new cases in Italy, Spain, UK, EU, USA,with the forecast of new cases.
Italy.
The forecast of the total cases is over 110,000 and the same data rated per 1000 capita is 1.8.
The figure shows also the forecast of the new cases, done on April 4th, in fair agreement with the datum of April 9th.
I present the forecast of the decrease of the new cases also in linear scale, showing the same forecast done on April 4th, but with the new datum of April 9t. As shown by the figure the forecast seems to be still valid since the real data presents oscillations around the Verhulst forecast, which is a mean one.
Spain.
The forecast of the total cases is over 170,000 and the same data rated per 1000 capita is 3.7.
The figure shows also the forecast of the new cases, done yesterday, in fair agreement with the datum of April 9th.
I present for the second day also the forecast of the decrease of the new cases in linear scale, showing the same forecast done on April 9th, but where I have put also the new datum of the 10th of April. As shown by the figure the forecast seems to be still valid since the real data presents oscillations around the Verhulst forecast, which is a mean one.
UK.
The forecast of the total cases is over 97,000 and the same data rated per 1000 capita is 1.46.
EU.
The forecast of the total infections is above 800,000, while the same data, rated per 1000 capita, is 1.8. The forecast of a possible decrease of the new infections started yesterday and the datum of April 9th is in agreement with that decrease.
USA.
The forecast of the total cases is over 600,000, while the same data, rated per 1000 capita, is over 1.85. The forecast of the increase of the new cases tends towards 50,000 new cases.
Fabio Gori, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy.
www.termofluidodinamica.it
covid19forecast.blogspot.com
eucovid19.blogspot.com
usacovid19.blogspot.com
forbigaio.blogspot.com
Today I have assembled data and forecast of the COVID 19 of April 9th 2020, presenting the forecast of the total and new cases in Italy, Spain, UK, EU, USA,with the forecast of new cases.
Italy.
The forecast of the total cases is over 110,000 and the same data rated per 1000 capita is 1.8.
The figure shows also the forecast of the new cases, done on April 4th, in fair agreement with the datum of April 9th.
I present the forecast of the decrease of the new cases also in linear scale, showing the same forecast done on April 4th, but with the new datum of April 9t. As shown by the figure the forecast seems to be still valid since the real data presents oscillations around the Verhulst forecast, which is a mean one.
Spain.
The forecast of the total cases is over 170,000 and the same data rated per 1000 capita is 3.7.
The figure shows also the forecast of the new cases, done yesterday, in fair agreement with the datum of April 9th.
I present for the second day also the forecast of the decrease of the new cases in linear scale, showing the same forecast done on April 9th, but where I have put also the new datum of the 10th of April. As shown by the figure the forecast seems to be still valid since the real data presents oscillations around the Verhulst forecast, which is a mean one.
UK.
The forecast of the total cases is over 97,000 and the same data rated per 1000 capita is 1.46.
EU.
The forecast of the total infections is above 800,000, while the same data, rated per 1000 capita, is 1.8. The forecast of a possible decrease of the new infections started yesterday and the datum of April 9th is in agreement with that decrease.
USA.
The forecast of the total cases is over 600,000, while the same data, rated per 1000 capita, is over 1.85. The forecast of the increase of the new cases tends towards 50,000 new cases.
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